| Auburn | #43 | #25 | 7-5 | - Against Notre Dame (Harbin #25, the spot the BCS standings gives Auburn), Auburn's beaten opponents earned 184.5 Level 1 points in all (243.0 for Notre Dame's), a Level 2 term of 12.6 to 16.8. Auburn beat 2 teams with losing records (FAU 1-11 and Ole Miss 2-10) and FCS Samford, which add little to Level 2; Notre Dame beat 1 team with 9+ wins (Michigan St 10-3). This accounts for 4.02 of the 4.95-point rating gap (81%).
|
| Arkansas | #22 | #6 | 10-2 | - Against Michigan (Harbin #6, the spot the BCS standings gives Arkansas), Arkansas's beaten opponents earned 258.5 Level 1 points in all (355.5 for Michigan's), a Level 2 term of 18.0 to 24.5. Arkansas beat 4 teams with losing records (New Mexico 1-11, Ole Miss 2-10, Troy 3-9 and Tennessee 5-7) and FCS Missouri St, which add little to Level 2; Michigan beat 1 team with 9+ wins (Nebraska 9-3). This accounts for 6.71 of the 6.73-point rating gap (100%).
|
| Oregon | #13 | #5 | 11-2 | - Against USC (Harbin #5, the spot the BCS standings gives Oregon), The teams Oregon played had 158 games on their schedules in all, against 147 for USC's, and Level 2 is divided by that total, so each team Oregon beat adds less. This accounts for 1.66 of the 2.82-point rating gap (59%).
- Oregon's beaten opponents earned 344.5 Level 1 points in all (357.5 for USC's), a Level 2 term of 21.8 to 24.3. Oregon beat 5 teams with losing records (Colorado 3-10, Oregon St 3-9, Arizona 4-8, Washington St 4-8 and 1 more) and FCS Missouri St, which add little to Level 2; USC beat 1 team with 9+ wins (Oregon 11-2). This accounts for 0.85 of the 2.82-point rating gap (30%).
|
| Georgia | #24 | #16 | 10-3 | - Against Baylor (Harbin #16, the spot the BCS standings gives Georgia), Georgia lost the SEC title game to LSU (13-0): it was its 13th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 5.00 to 4.62 and LSU's 13 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Georgia would rate 24.76 instead of 22.74. This accounts for 2.02 of the 2.16-point rating gap (94%).
- Georgia's beaten opponents earned 284.5 Level 1 points in all (294.0 for Baylor's), a Level 2 term of 19.8 to 20.6. Georgia beat 4 teams with losing records (Ole Miss 2-10, New Mexico St 4-9, Kentucky 5-7 and Tennessee 5-7) and FCS Coastal, which add little to Level 2; Baylor beat 2 teams with 9+ wins (TCU 10-2 and Oklahoma 9-3). This accounts for 0.66 of the 2.16-point rating gap (31%).
|
| Texas | #32 | #24 | 7-5 | - Against Georgia (Harbin #24, the spot the BCS standings gives Texas), Texas's beaten opponents earned 210.5 Level 1 points in all (284.5 for Georgia's), a Level 2 term of 14.5 to 19.8. Texas beat 4 teams with losing records (Kansas 2-10, Rice 4-8, Texas Tech 5-7 and UCLA 6-7), which add little to Level 2; Georgia beat no team with 9+ wins. This accounts for 5.12 points, more than the whole 4.68-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
- Texas lost 5 of its 12 games (Oklahoma 9-3, Oklahoma St 11-1, Missouri 7-5, Kansas St 10-2 and 1 more), and every loss is a game worth 0 points in the Level 1 average: 7 of its 12 games earn points, against 10 of 12 for Georgia (lost to Boise St 11-1 and South Carolina 10-2). This accounts for 1.51 of the 4.68-point rating gap (32%).
|
| Michigan | #6 | #13 | 10-2 | - Against Oregon (Harbin #13, the spot the BCS standings gives Michigan), The teams Oregon played had 158 games on their schedules in all, against 145 for Michigan's, and Level 2 is divided by that total, so each team Oregon beat adds less. This accounts for 1.99 of the 2.64-point rating gap (75%).
- Michigan beat 1 team with 9+ wins (Nebraska 9-3), so its beaten opponents earned 355.5 Level 1 points in all (344.5 for Oregon's), a Level 2 term of 24.5 to 21.8; Oregon beat 5 teams with losing records (Colorado 3-10, Oregon St 3-9, Arizona 4-8, Washington St 4-8 and 1 more) and FCS Missouri St, which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 0.73 of the 2.64-point rating gap (28%).
- Michigan beat 2 Harbin top-25 teams (Nebraska #15 and Notre Dame #25) and 1 more in the top 50 (Illinois #50).
|
| Oklahoma | #8 | #14 | 9-3 | - Against Wisconsin (Harbin #14, the spot the BCS standings gives Oklahoma), The teams Wisconsin played had 158 games on their schedules in all, against 144 for Oklahoma's, and Level 2 is divided by that total, so each team Wisconsin beat adds less. This accounts for 2.10 points, more than the whole 1.72-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
- Oklahoma beat 1 Harbin top-25 team (Kansas St #10) and 5 more in the top 50 (Texas #32, Iowa State #37, Tulsa #44, Florida St #45 and Missouri #47).
- Oklahoma's loss to 5-7 Texas Tech counts no more in Harbin than a loss to a top-10 team; it is #14 in the BCS standings.
|
| Clemson | #9 | #15 | 10-3 | - Against Nebraska (Harbin #15, the spot the BCS standings gives Clemson), Clemson beat 1 team with 9+ wins (Virginia Tech 11-2), so its beaten opponents earned 358.5 Level 1 points in all (314.5 for Nebraska's), a Level 2 term of 22.8 to 21.5; Nebraska beat 2 teams with losing records (Minnesota 3-9 and Fresno St 4-9) and FCS Chattanooga, which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 2.91 points, more than the whole 1.58-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
- Clemson beat 2 Harbin top-25 teams (Virginia Tech #7 and Virginia Tech #7) and 3 more in the top 50 (North Carolina #28, Auburn #43 and Florida St #45).
- Clemson's Level 2 term (22.8) ranks #9 in FBS: Harbin rewards beating teams that won a lot.
|