| Boise St | #10 | #20 | 11-2 | - Against Utah (Harbin #20, the spot the committee gives Boise St), Boise St beat 2 teams with 9+ wins (Colorado St 10-2 and Utah State 9-4), so its beaten opponents earned 345.5 Level 1 points in all (262.5 for Utah's), a Level 2 term of 21.7 to 17.9; Utah beat 4 teams with losing records (Colorado 2-10, Michigan 5-7, Oregon St 5-7 and Fresno St 6-7) and FCS Idaho St, which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 5.43 points, more than the whole 4.19-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
- Boise St lost 2 of its 13 games (Ole Miss 9-3 and Air Force 9-3), against 4 of 12 for Utah (lost to Washington St 3-9, Arizona St 9-3, Oregon 12-1 and Arizona 10-3), and every loss is a game worth 0 points in the Level 1 average. This accounts for 0.98 of the 4.19-point rating gap (23%).
|
| UCLA | #6 | #14 | 9-3 | - Against Mississippi St (Harbin #14, the spot the committee gives UCLA), UCLA beat 3 teams with 9+ wins (Arizona 10-3, Arizona St 9-3 and Memphis 9-3), so its beaten opponents earned 357.0 Level 1 points in all (287.5 for Mississippi St's), a Level 2 term of 24.3 to 19.8; Mississippi St beat 3 teams with losing records (Southern Miss 3-9, Vanderbilt 3-9 and Kentucky 5-7) and FCS UT Martin, which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 4.76 points, more than the whole 4.46-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
- UCLA beat 3 Harbin top-25 teams (Arizona #11, Arizona St #17 and USC #24).
|
| Michigan St | #16 | #8 | 10-2 | - Against TCU (Harbin #8, the spot the committee gives Michigan St), Michigan St's beaten opponents earned 281.0 Level 1 points in all (331.5 for TCU's), a Level 2 term of 19.5 to 23.2. Michigan St beat 5 teams with losing records (E Michigan 1-10, Purdue 3-9, Indiana 4-8, Wyoming 4-8 and 1 more) and FCS Jax State, which add little to Level 2; TCU beat 1 team with 9+ wins (Kansas St 9-3). This accounts for 3.52 of the 4.33-point rating gap (81%).
|
| Kansas St | #19 | #11 | 9-3 | - Against Arizona (Harbin #11, the spot the committee gives Kansas St), Kansas St's beaten opponents earned 267.0 Level 1 points in all (336.5 for Arizona's), a Level 2 term of 18.5 to 22.9. Kansas St beat 3 teams with losing records (Iowa State 2-10, Kansas 3-9 and Texas Tech 4-8) and FCS SF Austin, which add little to Level 2; Arizona beat 2 teams with 9+ wins (Oregon 12-1 and Arizona St 9-3). This accounts for 4.78 points, more than the whole 2.69-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
- Kansas St lost 3 of its 12 games (Auburn 8-4, TCU 11-1 and Baylor 11-1), and every loss is a game worth 0 points in the Level 1 average: 9 of its 12 games earn points, against 10 of 12 for Arizona (lost to USC 8-4 and UCLA 9-3). This accounts for 0.50 of the 2.69-point rating gap (19%).
|
| Mississippi St | #14 | #7 | 10-2 | - Against Baylor (Harbin #7, the spot the committee gives Mississippi St), Mississippi St's beaten opponents earned 287.5 Level 1 points in all (333.5 for Baylor's), a Level 2 term of 19.8 to 23.3. Mississippi St beat 3 teams with losing records (Southern Miss 3-9, Vanderbilt 3-9 and Kentucky 5-7) and FCS UT Martin, which add little to Level 2; Baylor beat 2 teams with 9+ wins (TCU 11-1 and Kansas St 9-3). This accounts for 3.19 of the 4.16-point rating gap (77%).
|
| Wisconsin | #12 | #18 | 10-3 | - Against Auburn (Harbin #18, the spot the committee gives Wisconsin), Wisconsin beat 1 team with 9+ wins (Nebraska 9-3), so its beaten opponents earned 332.0 Level 1 points in all (285.5 for Auburn's), a Level 2 term of 22.9 to 19.7; Auburn beat 1 team with a losing record (San José St 3-9) and FCS Samford, which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 3.21 points, more than the whole 2.03-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
- Wisconsin lost 2 of its 12 games (LSU 8-4 and Northwestern 5-7), against 4 of 12 for Auburn (lost to Mississippi St 10-2, Texas A&M 7-5, Georgia 9-3 and Alabama 12-1), and every loss is a game worth 0 points in the Level 1 average. This accounts for 0.96 of the 2.03-point rating gap (47%).
- Wisconsin beat 1 Harbin top-25 team (Nebraska #25) and 4 more in the top 50 (Minnesota #29, Illinois #46, Maryland #48 and Iowa #50).
|