2001 season

BCS era

Latest update: 2026-10-18 5:01 am ET  |  Week 16 status: COMPLETE

2001 Harbin Rankings

Power 4 conferences

Other FBS conferences

Independents

2001 season summary

Harbin's top two are Miami and Tennessee; the title game was Miami vs Nebraska, so Harbin got 1 of 2 right; across the whole BCS lineup (title game and four bowls), run by that year's rules, Harbin matches 7 of 8 teams.

Among games between teams the BCS standings ranked, Harbin put the loser above the winner in 6 of 17 (the BCS standings: 9), and picked 2 of 5 postseason games (the BCS standings: 3), ahead of the BCS standings overall.

It flags 3 teams that look out of place: Auburn (odd-in), Hawai'i (odd-in) and UCLA (odd-in).

MeasureHarbinBCS standings (2001-12-09)
Results contradicted (fewer is better)6 of 17 (35%)9 of 17 (53%)
Postseason picks right2 of 5 (40%)3 of 5 (60%)
Playoff field matched7 of 8 (88%)n/a

Field changes

Title game: Harbin Miami vs Tennessee; real Miami vs Nebraska.

Teams Harbin would add to, or drop from, the real field (the title game and the four BCS bowls).

Harbin adds

TeamHarbinBCS standingsWhy
Tennessee#2#6
  • Against Florida (the team it displaces), Tennessee beat 4 teams with 8+ wins (Florida 9-2, LSU 9-3, Syracuse 9-3 and South Carolina 8-3), so its beaten opponents earned 362.0 Level 1 points in all (289.0 for Florida's), a Level 2 term of 29.4 to 23.3; Florida beat 4 teams with losing records (Kentucky 2-9, UL Monroe 2-9, Vanderbilt 2-9 and Mississippi St 3-8), which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 5.91 points, more than the whole 3.75-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • Harbin ranks Tennessee #2 (10-2), so it takes a title-game spot; the real Orange Bowl had Florida (Harbin #8) instead.
  • Tennessee lost 1 of its 11 games (Georgia 8-3), against 2 of 11 for Florida (lost to Auburn 7-4 and Tennessee 10-2), and every loss is a game worth 0 points in the Level 1 average. This accounts for 0.57 of the 3.75-point rating gap (15%).

Harbin drops

TeamHarbinBCS standingsWhy
Florida#8#5
  • Against Tennessee (the team that takes its place), Florida's beaten opponents earned 289.0 Level 1 points in all (362.0 for Tennessee's), a Level 2 term of 23.3 to 29.4. Florida beat 4 teams with losing records (Kentucky 2-9, UL Monroe 2-9, Vanderbilt 2-9 and Mississippi St 3-8), which add little to Level 2; Tennessee beat 4 teams with 8+ wins (Florida 9-2, LSU 9-3, Syracuse 9-3 and South Carolina 8-3). This accounts for 5.91 points, more than the whole 3.75-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • The real Orange Bowl took Florida (at-large (replaced Big East champion Miami, who was in the title game)). Harbin ranks Florida #8, but SEC already has two teams in Harbin's lineup, the most the rules allow. Harbin's lineup has Tennessee (#2) there instead.
  • Florida lost 2 of its 11 games (Auburn 7-4 and Tennessee 10-2), and every loss is a game worth 0 points in the Level 1 average: 9 of its 11 games earn points, against 10 of 11 for Tennessee (lost to Georgia 8-3). This accounts for 0.57 of the 3.75-point rating gap (15%).

Title game

Teams Harbin would put into, or take out of, the national-title game (those not already listed above).

Harbin takes out of the title game

TeamHarbinBCS standingsWhy
Nebraska#3#2
  • Against Tennessee (the team that takes its place), Nebraska's beaten opponents earned 324.0 Level 1 points in all (362.0 for Tennessee's), a Level 2 term of 26.3 to 29.4. Nebraska beat 4 teams with losing records (Baylor 3-8, Kansas 3-8, Missouri 4-7 and Notre Dame 5-6), which add little to Level 2; Tennessee beat 4 teams with 8+ wins (Florida 9-2, LSU 9-3, Syracuse 9-3 and South Carolina 8-3). This accounts for 3.09 points, more than the whole 0.13-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • Nebraska's wins earn less: 6.20 Level 1 points per win, against 6.35 for Tennessee. 2 of its 10 wins came over teams worth less than a top-tier win (6.5): 2 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: Troy and Rice); Tennessee had 1 (1 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: Memphis)). This accounts for 0.14 points, more than the whole 0.13-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • Nebraska (31.98) and Tennessee (32.11) are only 0.13 points apart: a narrow call.

Outliers

TeamKindHarbinBCS standingsAPFPIW-LWhy
AuburnHarbin has in, reference does not#18---7-4
  • Marshall (Harbin #26, the first spot outside the BCS standings's top 25) lost the MAC title game to Toledo (9-2): it was its 12th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 4.18 to 3.83 and Toledo's 11 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Marshall would rate 22.09 instead of 20.26. This accounts for 1.83 of the 2.38-point rating gap (77%).
  • Auburn's wins earn more: 6.07 Level 1 points per win, against 4.60 for Marshall. 5 of its 7 wins came over top-tier teams (6.5 each: Florida #8, Georgia #21, Ole Miss #35, Mississippi St #82 and 1 more); Marshall had 0 of 10, plus 8 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: Bowling Green, N Illinois, Buffalo, C Michigan and 4 more) and FCS UMass and FCS Youngstown St (3.0 each). This accounts for 1.14 of the 2.38-point rating gap (48%).
  • Auburn beat 2 teams with 8+ wins (Florida 9-2 and Georgia 8-3), so its beaten opponents earned 231.0 Level 1 points in all (218.5 for Marshall's), a Level 2 term of 18.8 to 17.9; Marshall beat 4 teams with losing records (Ohio 1-10, Buffalo 3-8, C Michigan 3-8 and Akron 4-7) and FCS UMass and FCS Youngstown St, which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 1.02 of the 2.38-point rating gap (43%).
Hawai'iHarbin has in, reference does not#19---9-3
  • Against Marshall (Harbin #26, the first spot outside the BCS standings's top 25), Hawai'i beat 2 teams with 8+ wins (BYU 12-1 and Fresno St 11-2), so its beaten opponents earned 271.0 Level 1 points in all (218.5 for Marshall's), a Level 2 term of 18.7 to 17.9; Marshall beat 4 teams with losing records (Ohio 1-10, Buffalo 3-8, C Michigan 3-8 and Akron 4-7) and FCS UMass and FCS Youngstown St, which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 3.96 points, more than the whole 2.01-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • Marshall lost the MAC title game to Toledo (9-2): it was its 12th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 4.18 to 3.83 and Toledo's 11 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Marshall would rate 22.09 instead of 20.26. This accounts for 1.83 of the 2.01-point rating gap (91%).
  • Hawai'i's loss to 3-8 Nevada counts no more in Harbin than a loss to a top-10 team; it is unranked in the BCS standings.
UCLAHarbin has in, reference does not#24---7-4
  • Marshall (Harbin #26, the first spot outside the BCS standings's top 25) lost the MAC title game to Toledo (9-2): it was its 12th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 4.18 to 3.83 and Toledo's 11 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Marshall would rate 22.09 instead of 20.26. This accounts for 1.83 points, more than the whole 0.32-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • UCLA's wins earn more: 6.50 Level 1 points per win, against 4.60 for Marshall. 7 of its 7 wins came over top-tier teams (6.5 each: Washington #12, Ohio State #28, Alabama #47, Oregon St #60 and 3 more); Marshall had 0 of 10, plus 8 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: Bowling Green, N Illinois, Buffalo, C Michigan and 4 more) and FCS UMass and FCS Youngstown St (3.0 each). This accounts for 1.47 points, more than the whole 0.32-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • The teams Marshall played had 122 games on their schedules in all, against 121 for UCLA's, and Level 2 is divided by that total, so each team Marshall beat adds less. This accounts for 0.14 of the 0.32-point rating gap (44%).

Biggest disagreements

TeamHarbinBCS standingsW-LWhy
Louisville#25-10-2
  • Marshall (Harbin #26, the first spot outside the BCS standings's top 25) lost the MAC title game to Toledo (9-2): it was its 12th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 4.18 to 3.83 and Toledo's 11 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Marshall would rate 22.09 instead of 20.26. This accounts for 1.83 points, more than the whole 0.14-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • Louisville's wins earn more: 4.95 Level 1 points per win, against 4.60 for Marshall. 1 of its 10 wins came over top-tier teams (6.5 each: Kentucky #100); Marshall had 0 of 10, plus 8 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: Bowling Green, N Illinois, Buffalo, C Michigan and 4 more) and FCS UMass and FCS Youngstown St (3.0 each). This accounts for 0.30 points, more than the whole 0.14-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • Louisville has no win over a Harbin top-25 team (best win: East Carolina #57).
South Carolina#22#148-3
  • Against LSU (Harbin #14, the spot the BCS standings gives South Carolina), South Carolina's beaten opponents earned 210.0 Level 1 points in all (281.0 for LSU's), a Level 2 term of 17.1 to 20.8. South Carolina beat 3 teams with losing records (Kentucky 2-9, Vanderbilt 2-9 and Mississippi St 3-8) and FCS Wofford, which add little to Level 2; LSU beat 2 teams with 8+ wins (Tennessee 10-2 and MTSU 8-3). This accounts for 5.52 points, more than the whole 3.97-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
UCLA#24-7-4
  • Marshall (Harbin #26, the first spot outside the BCS standings's top 25) lost the MAC title game to Toledo (9-2): it was its 12th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 4.18 to 3.83 and Toledo's 11 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Marshall would rate 22.09 instead of 20.26. This accounts for 1.83 points, more than the whole 0.32-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • UCLA's wins earn more: 6.50 Level 1 points per win, against 4.60 for Marshall. 7 of its 7 wins came over top-tier teams (6.5 each: Washington #12, Ohio State #28, Alabama #47, Oregon St #60 and 3 more); Marshall had 0 of 10, plus 8 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: Bowling Green, N Illinois, Buffalo, C Michigan and 4 more) and FCS UMass and FCS Youngstown St (3.0 each). This accounts for 1.47 points, more than the whole 0.32-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • The teams Marshall played had 122 games on their schedules in all, against 121 for UCLA's, and Level 2 is divided by that total, so each team Marshall beat adds less. This accounts for 0.14 of the 0.32-point rating gap (44%).
BYU#23-12-1
  • Marshall (Harbin #26, the first spot outside the BCS standings's top 25) lost the MAC title game to Toledo (9-2): it was its 12th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 4.18 to 3.83 and Toledo's 11 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Marshall would rate 22.09 instead of 20.26. This accounts for 1.83 points, more than the whole 0.61-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • BYU beat no team with 8+ wins, so its beaten opponents earned 234.0 Level 1 points in all (218.5 for Marshall's), a Level 2 term of 16.0 to 17.9; Marshall beat 4 teams with losing records (Ohio 1-10, Buffalo 3-8, C Michigan 3-8 and Akron 4-7) and FCS UMass and FCS Youngstown St, which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 1.17 points, more than the whole 0.61-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
  • BYU's wins earn more: 5.25 Level 1 points per win, against 4.60 for Marshall. 2 of its 12 wins came over top-tier teams (6.5 each: Mississippi St #82 and California #112); Marshall had 0 of 10, plus 8 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: Bowling Green, N Illinois, Buffalo, C Michigan and 4 more) and FCS UMass and FCS Youngstown St (3.0 each). This accounts for 0.60 of the 0.61-point rating gap (97%).
Texas#13#710-2
  • Against Stanford (Harbin #7, the spot the BCS standings gives Texas), Texas lost the Big 12 title game to Colorado (10-2): it was its 12th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 5.64 to 5.17 and Colorado's 12 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Texas would rate 28.04 instead of 25.60. This accounts for 2.43 of the 3.31-point rating gap (74%).
  • Texas's beaten opponents earned 280.0 Level 1 points in all (289.5 for Stanford's), a Level 2 term of 22.4 to 23.7. Texas beat 6 teams with losing records (Houston 0-11, Baylor 3-8, Kansas 3-8, Missouri 4-7 and 2 more), which add little to Level 2; Stanford beat 1 team with 8+ wins (Oregon 10-1). This accounts for 0.77 of the 3.31-point rating gap (23%).
  • The teams Texas played had 125 games on their schedules in all, against 122 for Stanford's, and Level 2 is divided by that total, so each team Texas beat adds less. This accounts for 0.56 of the 3.31-point rating gap (17%).

Checks

Harbin ranks these teams in its top 15, yet the reference left them unranked, and they are not on the ineligible list. Each may be missing a postseason ban.

TeamHarbinW-LNote
Michigan#118-3Harbin #11 but unranked by the BCS standings: check for a postseason ban or other ineligibility
Syracuse#159-3Harbin #15 but unranked by the BCS standings: check for a postseason ban or other ineligibility

Compared with BCS standings of 2001-12-09. Written 2026-10-17 from games through 2001-12-09.