2009 season

BCS era

Latest update: 2026-10-18 5:01 am ET  |  Week 15 status: COMPLETE

2009 Harbin Rankings

Power 4 conferences

Other FBS conferences

Independents

2009 season summary

Harbin's top two are Alabama and Texas; the title game was Alabama vs Texas, so Harbin got 2 of 2 right; across the whole BCS lineup (title game and four bowls), run by that year's rules, Harbin matches 10 of 10 teams.

Among games between teams the BCS standings ranked, Harbin put the loser above the winner in 8 of 36 (the BCS standings: 5), and picked 4 of 9 postseason games (the BCS standings: 2), behind the BCS standings overall.

It flags no team that looks out of place.

MeasureHarbinBCS standings (2009-12-08)
Results contradicted (fewer is better)8 of 36 (22%)5 of 36 (14%)
Postseason picks right4 of 9 (44%)2 of 9 (22%)
Playoff field matched10 of 10 (100%)n/a

Field changes

Title game: Harbin Alabama vs Texas; real Alabama vs Texas.

Teams Harbin would add to, or drop from, the real field (the title game and the four BCS bowls).

Biggest disagreements

TeamHarbinBCS standingsW-LWhy
Utah#48#239-3
  • Against BYU (Harbin #23, the spot the BCS standings gives Utah), Utah's beaten opponents earned 167.0 Level 1 points in all (239.5 for BYU's), a Level 2 term of 11.6 to 16.6. Utah beat 7 teams with losing records (New Mexico 1-11, San José St 2-10, Colorado St 3-9, Louisville 4-8 and 3 more), which add little to Level 2; BYU beat 1 team with 9+ wins (Utah 9-3). This accounts for 5.03 of the 5.45-point rating gap (92%).
  • Utah has no win over a Harbin top-25 team (best win: Air Force #72).
Oregon St#30#188-4
  • Against Oklahoma St (Harbin #18, the spot the BCS standings gives Oregon St), Oregon St's beaten opponents earned 221.0 Level 1 points in all (270.0 for Oklahoma St's), a Level 2 term of 15.5 to 18.6. Oregon St beat 4 teams with losing records (Washington St 1-11, Arizona St 4-8, UNLV 5-7 and Washington 5-7) and FCS Portland St, which add little to Level 2; Oklahoma St beat no team with 9+ wins. This accounts for 3.40 of the 3.71-point rating gap (92%).
North Carolina#15-8-4
  • Against Nebraska (Harbin #26, the first spot outside the BCS standings's top 25), North Carolina beat 3 teams with 9+ wins (East Carolina 9-4, Miami 9-3 and Virginia Tech 9-3), so its beaten opponents earned 292.5 Level 1 points in all (255.5 for Nebraska's), a Level 2 term of 20.3 to 17.7; Nebraska beat 5 teams with losing records (Colorado 3-9, Arkansas St 4-8, Baylor 4-8, FAU 5-7 and 1 more), which add little to Level 2. This accounts for 2.57 of the 3.51-point rating gap (73%).
  • Nebraska lost the Big 12 title game to Texas (13-0): it was its 13th game and earned 0 points, so its Level 1 average fell from 4.50 to 4.15 and Texas's 13 games went into its divisor with nothing earned; without that game Nebraska would rate 22.24 instead of 20.43. This accounts for 1.82 of the 3.51-point rating gap (52%).
  • North Carolina beat 2 Harbin top-25 teams (Miami #11 and Virginia Tech #12) and 3 more in the top 50 (East Carolina #31, Boston College #34 and UConn #43).
LSU#22#129-3
  • Against Virginia Tech (Harbin #12, the spot the BCS standings gives LSU), LSU's beaten opponents earned 247.0 Level 1 points in all (306.0 for Virginia Tech's), a Level 2 term of 16.9 to 20.7. LSU beat 5 teams with losing records (Vanderbilt 2-10, Tulane 3-9, Louisiana Tech 4-8, Mississippi St 5-7 and 1 more), which add little to Level 2; Virginia Tech beat 3 teams with 9+ wins (East Carolina 9-4, Miami 9-3 and Nebraska 9-4). This accounts for 4.01 points, more than the whole 3.88-point rating gap; other factors pull the other way.
BYU#23#1410-2
  • Against West Virginia (Harbin #14, the spot the BCS standings gives BYU), BYU's beaten opponents earned 239.5 Level 1 points in all (286.5 for West Virginia's), a Level 2 term of 16.6 to 19.9. BYU beat 6 teams with losing records (New Mexico 1-11, Colorado St 3-9, Tulane 3-9, San Diego St 4-8 and 2 more), which add little to Level 2; West Virginia beat 2 teams with 9+ wins (East Carolina 9-4 and Pitt 9-3). This accounts for 3.26 of the 3.31-point rating gap (99%).
  • BYU's wins earn less: 5.15 Level 1 points per win, against 5.78 for West Virginia. 9 of its 10 wins came over teams worth less than a top-tier win (6.5): 9 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: Tulane, Colorado St, Utah State, UNLV and 5 more); West Virginia had 3 (2 over other FBS teams (5.0 each: East Carolina and Marshall) and FCS Liberty (3.0)). This accounts for 0.50 of the 3.31-point rating gap (15%).

Checks

Harbin ranks these teams in its top 15, yet the reference left them unranked, and they are not on the ineligible list. Each may be missing a postseason ban.

TeamHarbinW-LNote
North Carolina#158-4Harbin #15 but unranked by the BCS standings: check for a postseason ban or other ineligibility

Compared with BCS standings of 2009-12-08. Written 2026-10-17 from games through 2009-12-08.